Population Thesis

Population Thesis-81
Malthus regarded ideals of future improvement in the lot of humanity with scepticism, considering that throughout history a segment of every human population seemed relegated to poverty.He explained this phenomenon by arguing that population growth generally expanded in times and in regions of plenty until the size of the population relative to the primary resources caused distress: "Yet in all societies, even those that are most vicious, the tendency to a virtuous attachment [i.e., marriage] is so strong, that there is a constant effort towards an increase of population.

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We will suppose the means of subsistence in any country just equal to the easy support of its inhabitants. increases the number of people before the means of subsistence are increased.

The food therefore which before supported seven millions must now be divided among seven millions and a half or eight millions.

In 1803, Malthus published, under the same title, a heavily revised second edition of his work.

His final version, the 6th edition, was published in 1826.

Malthus also saw that societies through history had experienced at one time or another epidemics, famines, or wars: events that masked the fundamental problem of populations overstretching their resource limitations: The power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race.

The vices of mankind are active and able ministers of depopulation.This high projection supposes today's growth rate is sustainable to the year 2100 and beyond.Malthus argued that two types of checks hold population within resource limits: positive checks, which raise the death rate; and preventive ones, which lower the birth rate.To date, world population has remained below his predicted line.However, the current rate of increase since 1955 is over two billion per 25 years, more than twice the Malthus predicted maximum rate.This theory suggested that growing population rates would contribute to a rising supply of labour that would inevitably lower wages.In essence, Malthus feared that continued population growth would lend itself to poverty and famine.These findings are the basis for neo-Malthusian modern mathematical models of long-term historical dynamics.If the subsistence for man that the earth affords was to be increased every twenty-five years by a quantity equal to what the whole world at present produces, this would allow the power of production in the earth to be absolutely unlimited, and its ratio of increase much greater than we can conceive that any possible exertions of mankind could make it...still the power of population being a power of a superior order, the increase of the human species can only be kept commensurate to the increase of the means of subsistence by the constant operation of the strong law of necessity acting as a check upon the greater power.He wrote the original text in reaction to the optimism of his father and his father's associates (notably Rousseau) regarding the future improvement of society.Malthus also constructed his case as a specific response to writings of William Godwin (1756–1836) and of the Marquis de Condorcet (1743–1794).

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